After months of inflationary pressure and supply chain disruptions, retail egg prices in the United States have finally begun to fall. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, egg prices dropped by 12.7% in April 2025—the largest monthly decline since 1984. This marks a significant shift after a prolonged period of elevated prices that strained household budgets nationwide.
The role of Avian Flu in price surges
The dramatic price increases earlier this year were largely driven by a widespread outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI), which devastated poultry farms across the country. Millions of laying hens were culled to contain the virus, leading to a sharp drop in egg supply and a surge in prices. Although only two outbreaks were recorded in April, the threat remains, and producers are still recovering from earlier losses.
Government response and market stabilization
To mitigate the crisis, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) facilitated increased imports of eggs from countries such as Mexico and Brazil. At the same time, domestic production has gradually rebounded, helping to stabilize the market. Wholesale prices have also begun to ease, with the national average for large white shell eggs falling to around \$3.29 per dozen.
Prices still high compared to historical averages
Despite the recent decline, egg prices remain well above pre-pandemic levels. The USDA notes that while prices have eased, they are still not low enough to encourage above-average consumer purchases. Many grocers are hesitant to feature eggs in promotional ads, and consumers remain cautious, adjusting their buying habits to reflect the new pricing reality.
Consumer behavior and seasonal trends
The post-Easter period typically sees a dip in egg demand, and this year is no exception. Warmer weather has shifted consumer preferences toward grilling and seasonal produce, reducing egg consumption. Analysts also point to a normalization of consumer behavior after months of panic buying and stockpiling.
Outlook: more relief ahead?
Looking forward, experts predict that egg prices may continue to decline through the summer, barring any new disease outbreaks. However, the market remains fragile. A recent avian flu incident in South Dakota affected over 630,000 birds, underscoring the ongoing vulnerability of the supply chain.
Conclusion
While the recent drop in egg prices offers a measure of relief for American consumers, the broader picture remains complex. Supply chain resilience, disease management, and consumer confidence will all play key roles in determining whether this downward trend continues—or proves to be only temporary.
Sources: Available upon request