Site icon aviNews International, poultry information

Maize and Soybean Meal Demand and Supply Situation in Indian Poultry Industry

Escrito por: Ricky Thaper
Industry

Status of Poultry Industry in India

The average per capita consumption of meat is around 7.4 kg and eggs 103 per person per annum in India. The growing consumer demand for egg and chicken during last two decades, has taken India to second position in egg production and sixth position in broiler production in the global poultry production charts.

At present the layer population is around 300 million, broiler population is at 5 billion annual placement, breeder placement at 45 million and backyard poultry at 30 million (requiring approx. 32 MMT of poultry feed).

The challenge though would be moving forward

Expected layer population in 2025- 26 will be 327 million and 5.5 billion broilers, which would require 23.52 MMT of maize and 7.3 MMT of Soybean Meal. With other uses of the feed ingredients, these may not be available at a reasonable price in coming years.

Agriculture plays a vital role in India’s economy

54.6% of the population is engaged in agriculture and allied activities, contributing 17.4% to the country’s Gross Value Added.

 

The Agriculture Sector occupies centre stage in the Indian economy, embodying three thrust areas:

Agricultural growth rate has fallen sharply to 1.4 per cent in 2023-24, compared to 4.7 per cent growth rate of 2022-23.

As mentioned above, agriculture’s growth is only 1.4%, whereas the livestock industry’s growth is around 7%. We are facing an acute shortage of maize due to its demand from Ethanol Industry.

The Issue

Maize is the third most important crop after rice and wheat and is principally grown in two seasons, rainy (kharif) and winter (rabi).

In the last few years Spring/Zaid maize has gained importance, but there are only estimates of production and it may contribute 9% of the total production.

The area and production data of maize are all at best, guesstimates and there is discrepancy in GOI and trade data.

Graphic 1. Maize Demand vs Aivalability. (Livestock, Human Consumption, Starch, Ethanol, Alcohol, Seed & Wastage). Source: Industry estimates, CLFMA, AIPBA, PFI, KPBFA, MoPNG, NITI AYOG, AMUL etc/ Est – Estimulated /P – Proj

Table 1. Current and Projected Corn demand (MMT)

Graphic 2. Avg Maize Selling Price Per Ton (2020 onwards)

Table 2. Demand & Supply. India Maize Demand & Supply in MMT. Source: Industry estimates, CLFMA, AIPBA, PFI, KPBFA, MoPNG, NITI AYOG, AMUL etc/ Est – Estimulated /P – Proj

Relevance of Soy in feed/food industry

 

Graphic 3. India soymeal consumption vs production

Table 3. Soymeal consumption (Projected)

The growth rate is 7.5 percent in layers and 9 percent in broilers per year against the growth of agriculture at 1.4 percent. Recently the Government had announced Special Livestock sector package- Animal Infrastructure Development Fund.

The poultry meat as well as egg sectors must take advantage of this financial assistance to boost infrastructure. Now Marketing of Branded Eggs is picking up in India so we should think on these lines also.

Role of various Associations

Several Poultry Associations like;

These are playing an active role by providing guidelines to poultry farmers and consumers by organizing technical seminars, placing advertisements in print and electronic media for creating awareness on health benefits of consuming poultry products.

Food Processing in India

On future of Food Processing in India, the entire Indian agriculture value chain is set to change drastically, and food processing is going to be one of the main industries of the country in next 3-5 years.

In coming years, Indian consumers are expected to shift from ‘wet market’ to dressed chicken market, because of better hygiene, reliable supplies and reasonable price. Opportunities exist in setting up the processing plants, cold chain facilities, sale counters to reach the final consumers.

E-commerce

The online segment is expected to continue to drive broiler and eggs consumption in the coming years.

Final Considerations

Poultry sector is the most organized of all agricultural sectors in India and increasing demand for eggs and chicken is evolving into a very vibrant and modern industry.

To sustain this growth in the poultry sector, we will be requiring imports of GM corn and GM soybean meal to reduce the feed costs. As GM Soybean / GM Soybean Meal and GM Corn import is allowed in neighbouring countries – Nepal, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Pakistan, Indian poultry industry is hopeful that in coming years, Indian Government will also seriously look at allowing imports for usage in feed manufacturing.

As an industry representative we are in discussions with senior officials at animal husbandry and agriculture department.

Exit mobile version