Sources: Available upon request.
USDA estimates 2025 chicken meat production
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) has released its projections for chicken meat production in 2025, presenting a positive outlook for the poultry industry. According to the USDA’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, broiler production is expected to reach 47.5 billion pounds in 2025.
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) has released its projections for chicken meat production in 2025, presenting a positive outlook for the poultry industry. According to the USDA’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, broiler production is expected to reach 47.5 billion pounds in 2025. This projection reflects the resilience and steady growth of the poultry sector, which has successfully navigated challenges such as avian influenza and fluctuating feed costs.
The USDA’s forecast indicates that the poultry industry will continue to build on the momentum gained in previous years. Despite the challenges faced, the poultry industry has shown remarkable stability and adaptability. The projected increase in broiler production is a testament to the sector’s ability to overcome obstacles and maintain growth.
However, the price forecasts for poultry products present a more nuanced picture. The USDA has slightly lowered its broiler price forecast for 2025 to $1.27 per pound, down from the $1.29 per pound expected in 2024. This adjustment is attributed to stronger-than-anticipated prices through mid-2024, which led to higher-than-expected prices in the first quarter of 2025. In contrast, the outlook for turkey prices has been revised downward. The USDA has adjusted its 2024 forecast to 94.2 cents per pound, with prices expected to remain subdued into 2025 at $1.05 per pound. This decline reflects recent market data indicating weaker-than-expected demand and reduced pricing power in the turkey sector.
Egg prices, however, are anticipated to remain relatively high in 2024, with the USDA raising its forecast to $2.71 per dozen for the latter half of the year. This increase is driven by tighter inventories and stronger market conditions. Looking ahead to 2025, the USDA expects egg prices to moderate somewhat to $1.75 per dozen, although they will remain elevated compared to historical averages.
In summary, while the U.S. poultry industry is set for another year of production growth in 2025, price trends will vary across different products. Broiler prices are expected to ease slightly, turkey prices are projected to decline further, and egg prices will likely remain relatively high before moderating as the market stabilizes. The USDA’s projections highlight the dynamic nature of the poultry industry and its capacity to adapt to changing market conditions.
Overall, the USDA’s estimates for 2025 paint a picture of a resilient and growing poultry sector, poised to continue its upward trajectory despite the challenges it faces. The industry’s ability to maintain production growth while navigating price fluctuations underscores its importance in the broader agricultural landscape.