08 Mar 2025

Avian Influenza in the U.S. impacts Mexico: chicken prices soar

The recent outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in the United States has had significant repercussions on the poultry industry, not only domestically but also in neighboring countries like Mexico.

The recent outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in the United States has had significant repercussions on the poultry industry, not only domestically but also in neighboring countries like Mexico. The virus, commonly known as bird flu, has led to the culling of millions of birds, causing a ripple effect that has driven up chicken prices in Mexico.

The outbreak in the U.S.

Since the outbreak began in 2022, the U.S. has seen over 100 million poultry birds either die or be culled due to the H5N1 strain of the virus. The hardest-hit areas include states like Iowa and Colorado, where millions of birds have been affected. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has implemented a comprehensive strategy to curb the spread of the virus, including investing up to $1 billion in biosecurity measures, financial relief for farmers, and vaccine research.

Impact on Mexico

Mexico imports a significant portion of its poultry from the U.S., making it highly susceptible to fluctuations in the U.S. poultry market. Approximately 21-22% of Mexico’s chicken supply comes from the U.S. and Brazil. The outbreak has led to a sharp increase in chicken prices in Mexico, with prices rising as much as 43% in some areas over the past year. The average price per kilo of a whole chicken in a public market rose from 52.60 pesos (US $2.57) in February 2024 to 75.20 pesos (US $3.57) in February 2025.

Economic and social consequences

The rise in poultry prices has had a significant impact on Mexican households, where chicken and eggs are staple ingredients. The National Union of Poultry Farmers reported that egg prices have also increased by up to 27%. This price hike has made it challenging for many families to afford these essential food items. For instance, in Mexico City, some households have had to reduce their consumption of eggs and chicken, stretching their budgets to accommodate the higher prices.

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Looking ahead

The ongoing avian influenza outbreak underscores the interconnectedness of global food supply chains and the vulnerabilities that come with it. While the USDA’s efforts to control the virus in the U.S. are crucial, the impact on countries like Mexico highlights the need for international cooperation and preparedness in addressing such outbreaks. As the situation evolves, both countries will need to continue working together to mitigate the economic and social impacts of this crisis.

Sources: Available upon request

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